Luton vs Leicester: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Luton the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Leicester. The most likely score is 1-1. If Luton wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luton vs Leicester?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Luton (1,988) and Leicester (1,925).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Luton vs Leicester
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Luton
4-1-4-1- 9C. Marshall
- 8L. Walsh
- 7J. Richards
- 30G. Kodua
- 16Daniel Gore
- 11Emilio Lawrence
- 2H. Odoffin
- 5M. Andersen
- 33H. Ashby
- 6G. Johnston
- 1J. Shea
Leicester
4-1-4-1- 17E. Riis
- 36S. Braybrooke
- 37W. Alves
- 25L. Page
- 11L. Cullen
- 6J. Lundstram
- 33L. Thomas
- 16W. O'Hora
- 32O. Aluko
- 15H. Souttar
- 29A. McCarthy
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luton have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Leicester have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Colchester(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 6-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Fulham U21(home) | 6-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 4-3 | League One |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 0-4 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Luton wins, 0 draws, 1 Leicester win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2019 | Luton 0-4 Leicester | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Luton score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leicester score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Leicester | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luton sit 16th in League One (8 points from 7 matches) and Leicester sit 14th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 8 |
A question about Luton vs Leicester?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luton vs Leicester?
- The Footlab AI model makes Luton the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Leicester.
- Where and when is Luton vs Leicester played?
- Luton vs Leicester is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kenilworth Road, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.