Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Leyton Orient. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Burton Albion (1,798) and Leyton Orient (1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burton Albion have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Leyton Orient have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leicester(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stevenage(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wigan(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Burton Albion win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Leyton Orient win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Leyton Orient 2-2 Burton Albion | League One |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Burton Albion 0-4 Leyton Orient | League One |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Burton Albion 2-1 Leyton Orient | League One |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Leyton Orient 0-0 Burton Albion | League One |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Leyton Orient 1-2 Burton Albion | League One |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Burton Albion 0-0 Leyton Orient | League One |
Last archived meeting: Leyton Orient vs Burton Albion on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Burton Albion score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Leyton Orient score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Leyton Orient | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burton Albion sit 7th in League One (4 points from 2 matches) and Leyton Orient sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Burton Albion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient?
- The Footlab model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Leyton Orient.
- Where and when is Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient played?
- Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Pirelli Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.