Luton vs Millwall: result 0-3 and analysis
FA Cup5th RoundKick-off on February 16, 2013 at 12:45 PM (UTC)Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
Full time
What was the result of Luton vs Millwall?
Millwall won 0-3 on February 16, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 12′J. HenryMillwall
- 36′R. HulseMillwall
- 86′Dany N'GuessanMillwall
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luton have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Millwall have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2013 | Dartford(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Feb 9, 2013 | Forest Green(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Feb 2, 2013 | Barrow(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Jan 29, 2013 | Grimsby(away) | 0-3 | FA Trophy |
| Jan 26, 2013 | Norwich(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2013 | Blackpool(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Feb 2, 2013 | Hull City(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jan 29, 2013 | Barnsley(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Jan 25, 2013 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Jan 19, 2013 | Burnley(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Luton score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Millwall score 0.8 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Millwall | 0.8 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy