Luton vs Morecambe: result 3-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 46Kick-off on May 6, 2017 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
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What was the result of Luton vs Morecambe?
Luton won 3-1 on May 6, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 28′I. VassellLuton
- 58′Michael RoseMorecambe (pen.)
- 74′J. MarriottLuton
- 86′J. MarriottLuton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luton have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Morecambe have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2017 | Accrington ST(away) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Apr 22, 2017 | Notts County(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Apr 17, 2017 | Mansfield Town(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 14, 2017 | Leyton Orient(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Apr 8, 2017 | Barnet(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2017 | Wycombe(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 22, 2017 | Exeter City(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Apr 17, 2017 | Colchester(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 14, 2017 | Stevenage(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Apr 8, 2017 | Hartlepool(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Luton win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Morecambe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2016 | Morecambe 0-2 Luton | League Two |
| Mar 1, 2016 | Luton 1-0 Morecambe | League Two |
| Sep 29, 2015 | Morecambe 1-3 Luton | League Two |
| Mar 7, 2015 | Luton 2-3 Morecambe | League Two |
| Dec 13, 2014 | Morecambe 3-0 Luton | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Luton score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Morecambe score 0.9 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Morecambe | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy