Bedford Town vs Morecambe: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 20Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The New Eyrie, Cardington, Bedfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Bedford Town the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Morecambe. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bedford Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bedford Town vs Morecambe?
On Elo ratings, Bedford Town has 1,872 points and Morecambe 1,803.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bedford Town vs Morecambe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bedford Town
Not enough data to predict the Bedford Town lineup.
Morecambe
Not enough data to predict the Morecambe lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bedford Town have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Morecambe have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chester(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Southport(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Bedford Town score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Morecambe score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bedford Town | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Morecambe | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bedford Town sit 11th in National League - North (16 points from 11 matches) and Morecambe sit 17th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bedford Town | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 17 | Morecambe | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
A question about Bedford Town vs Morecambe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bedford Town vs Morecambe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bedford Town the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Morecambe.
- Where and when is Bedford Town vs Morecambe played?
- Bedford Town vs Morecambe is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The New Eyrie, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.