Luton vs Wrexham: result 0-1 and analysis
National LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on October 18, 2011 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
Full time
What was the result of Luton vs Wrexham?
Wrexham won 0-1 on October 18, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 74′Mathias Fassou PogbaWrexham
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luton have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Wrexham have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2011 | Gateshead(home) | 5-1 | National League |
| Oct 11, 2011 | Ebbsfleet United(away) | 2-2 | National League |
| Oct 8, 2011 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Barrow(home) | 5-1 | National League |
| Sep 27, 2011 | Cambridge United(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2011 | Stockport County(home) | 4-0 | National League |
| Oct 9, 2011 | Hayes & Yeading United(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Oct 4, 2011 | Gateshead(away) | 4-1 | National League |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Ebbsfleet United(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Sep 27, 2011 | Mansfield Town(home) | 1-3 | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Luton score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Wrexham score 2.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton | 2.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Wrexham | 2.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 18, 2011Newport County3-1Kettering Town
- Oct 18, 2011Forest Green2-1AFC Telford United
- Oct 18, 2011Lincoln1-1Mansfield Town
- Oct 18, 2011Gateshead2-3Southport
- Oct 18, 2011York2-2Cambridge United
- Oct 18, 2011Ebbsfleet United3-1Grimsby
- Oct 18, 2011Alfreton Town1-4Fleetwood Town
- Oct 18, 2011Kidderminster Harriers5-4Braintree