Norwich vs Wrexham: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Carrow Road, Norwich, Norfolk
The Footlab AI model makes Norwich the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Wrexham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Norwich wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Norwich vs Wrexham?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Norwich (1,949) and Wrexham (2,037).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Norwich vs Wrexham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Norwich
4-2-3-1- 30M. Kvistgaarden
- 11A. Brooks
- 7P. Mattsson
- 29O. Schwartau
- 16Jacob Wright
- 23K. McLean
- 33J. Córdoba
- 15Ruairi McConville
- 3J. Stacey
- 13D. Yongwa
- 1V. Kovačević
Wrexham
3-4-2-1- 19K. Moore
- 8B. Whiteman
- 3J. Ekomié
- 17C. O'Hare
- 12I. Kaboré
- 10J. Windass
- 27L. O'Brien
- 5D. Hyam
- 26Z. Vyner
- 2C. Doyle
- 22A. Patterson
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Norwich have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Wrexham have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 3-4 | Championship |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 0-5 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 3-4 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Birmingham(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Derby(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 0-6 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Norwich win, 0 draws, 1 Wrexham win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Wrexham 1-2 Norwich | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Norwich 2-3 Wrexham | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Norwich score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wrexham score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Wrexham | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Norwich sit 19th in Championship (9 points from 9 matches) and Wrexham sit 16th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 11 |
| 19 | Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 9 |
A question about Norwich vs Wrexham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Norwich vs Wrexham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Norwich the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Wrexham.
- Where and when is Norwich vs Wrexham played?
- Norwich vs Wrexham is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Carrow Road, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.