Luunja vs Tallinna Kalev II: result 5-4 and analysis
Esiliiga BMatchday 20Kick-off on July 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tartu Sepa tänava staadion, Tartu
Full time
What was the result of Luunja vs Tallinna Kalev II?
Luunja won 5-4 on July 20, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 18′G. TuurLuunja
- 37′T. AlunurmTallinna Kalev II
- 40′H. LehtmaaTallinna Kalev II
- 42′H. LehtmaaTallinna Kalev II
- 53′G. UggeriLuunja
- 67′K. KupitsLuunja
- 76′554338Luunja
- 83′A. ViinapuuLuunja
- 90′675015Tallinna Kalev II
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Luunja win at 68%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-1. Actual score: 5-4.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luunja have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Tallinna Kalev II have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | Narva U21(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Levadia U19(away) | 2-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Tulevik(away) | 2-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Jun 18, 2026 | JK Tabasalu(home) | 1-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix(away) | 4-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | Levadia U19(home) | 4-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Legion(away) | 3-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Narva U21(home) | 2-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21(away) | 2-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Jun 13, 2026 | JK Tabasalu(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Luunja wins, 0 draws, 3 Tallinna Kalev II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II 0-1 Luunja | Esiliiga B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Luunja 3-2 Tallinna Kalev II | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Luunja 4-5 Tallinna Kalev II | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Tallinna Kalev II 5-0 Luunja | Esiliiga A |
| May 25, 2025 | Tallinna Kalev II 6-1 Luunja | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Luunja 5-1 Tallinna Kalev II | Esiliiga A |
Last archived meeting: Tallinna Kalev II vs Luunja on May 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Luunja score 2.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tallinna Kalev II score 2.3 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luunja | 2.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Tallinna Kalev II | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luunja sit 4th in Esiliiga B (59 points from 35 matches) and Tallinna Kalev II sit 9th (33 points from 35 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Luunja | 35 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 93 | 69 | 59 |
| 9 | Tallinna Kalev II | 35 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 70 | 87 | 33 |
A question about Luunja vs Tallinna Kalev II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy