Narva U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21: result 4-1 and analysis
Esiliiga BRegular Season - 20Kick-off on July 19, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)Kalevi Staadion, Narva
Full time
What was the result of Narva U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21?
Narva U21 won 4-1 on July 19, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 31′665361Parnu JK Vaprus U21
- 43′Stanislav AgaptševNarva U21
- 52′D. GevellerNarva U21
- 59′671513Narva U21
- 78′646136Narva U21
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Narva U21 win at 62%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-1. Actual score: 4-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Narva U21 have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Parnu JK Vaprus U21 have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | Luunja(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Tulevik(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II(away) | 3-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(home) | 3-2 | Esiliiga B |
| May 31, 2026 | JK Tabasalu(home) | 5-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix(away) | 2-4 | Esiliiga B |
| Jul 5, 2026 | JK Tabasalu(home) | 2-8 | Esiliiga B |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Legion(away) | 4-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II(home) | 2-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Levadia U19(home) | 4-2 | Esiliiga B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Narva U21 win, 0 draws, 1 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 4-0 Narva U21 | Esiliiga B |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Narva U21 5-0 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | Esiliiga B |
Last archived meeting: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Narva U21 on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Narva U21 score 2.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Parnu JK Vaprus U21 score 2.8 and concede 2.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Narva U21 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 1 | 14/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Narva U21 sit 1st in Esiliiga B (73 points from 35 matches) and Parnu JK Vaprus U21 sit 5th (53 points from 35 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Narva U21 | 35 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 76 | 40 | 73 |
| 5 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 104 | 70 | 53 |
A question about Narva U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy