Lyon Duchere vs Fréjus St-Raphaël: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 9Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Balmont, Lyon
The Footlab model makes Lyon Duchere the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Fréjus St-Raphaël. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lyon Duchere vs Fréjus St-Raphaël?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Lyon Duchere (1,751) and Fréjus St-Raphaël (1,714).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lyon Duchere have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Fréjus St-Raphaël have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rumilly Vallières(home) | 1-7 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Montpellier II(home) | 3-0 | National 3 - Group H |
| May 9, 2026 | Olympique Lyonnais II(away) | 4-2 | National 3 - Group H |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Fos(home) | 2-3 | National 3 - Group H |
| Apr 18, 2026 | ASPTT Dijon(away) | 4-2 | National 3 - Group H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Saint-Priest(home) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Grasse(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Bobigny(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 2, 2026 | Toulon(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Saint-Priest(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Lyon Duchere win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Fréjus St-Raphaël win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | Fréjus St-Raphaël 1-2 Lyon Duchere | National 2 - Group C |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Lyon Duchere 0-2 Fréjus St-Raphaël | National 2 - Group C |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Fréjus St-Raphaël 3-1 Lyon Duchere | National 2 - Group C |
| Oct 9, 2021 | Lyon Duchere 0-1 Fréjus St-Raphaël | National 2 - Group C |
Last archived meeting: Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Lyon Duchere on Mar 18, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Lyon Duchere score 2.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fréjus St-Raphaël score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon Duchere | 2.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lyon Duchere sit 17th in National 2 - Group C (0 points from 1 matches) and Fréjus St-Raphaël sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | Lyon Duchere | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lyon Duchere vs Fréjus St-Raphaël?
- The Footlab model makes Lyon Duchere the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Fréjus St-Raphaël.
- Where and when is Lyon Duchere vs Fréjus St-Raphaël played?
- Lyon Duchere vs Fréjus St-Raphaël is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Balmont, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.