Chateauroux vs Nimes: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Gaston Petit, Châteauroux
The Footlab AI model makes Nimes the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Chateauroux. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nimes wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chateauroux vs Nimes?
Nimes starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (1,901 vs 1,705).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chateauroux vs Nimes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chateauroux
4-3-3- 12J. Koembo
- 19L. Piquionne
- 27W. Boussaid
- 5P. Wade
- 21Y. Chahid
- 10R. Freitas
- 39M. Beneddine
- 6G. Kelo
- 4D. Diarra
- 28S. Mopila
- 16L. Lavallée
Nimes
4-3-3- 31Sory Doumbouya
- 13B. Toure
- 15N. Bennour
- 8C. Benhamza
- 9K. Tlili
- 23I. Semedo
- 4P. Martínez
- 11Diaby Doucoure
- 20E. Loubacky
- 28P. Mbemba
- 16L. Dias
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chateauroux have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Nimes have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Istres(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Limonest(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | UF Touraine(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Hyères(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hauts Lyonnais(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hyères(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hauts Lyonnais(away) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Troyes II(home) | 4-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lyon Duchere(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Fréjus St-Raphaël(home) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chateauroux wins, 1 draw, 3 Nimes wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025 | Chateauroux 3-2 Nimes | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Nimes 1-0 Chateauroux | Ligue 3 |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Chateauroux 0-1 Nimes | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Nimes 2-2 Chateauroux | Ligue 3 |
| Jan 20, 2018 | Nimes 3-0 Chateauroux | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 21, 2017 | Chateauroux 1-0 Nimes | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Chateauroux score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nimes score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Nimes | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chateauroux sit 15th in National 2 - Group C (3 points from 5 matches) and Nimes sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nimes | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
| 15 | Chateauroux | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
A question about Chateauroux vs Nimes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chateauroux vs Nimes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nimes the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Chateauroux.
- Where and when is Chateauroux vs Nimes played?
- Chateauroux vs Nimes is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Gaston Petit, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.