Lyon Duchere vs Nimes: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 3Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Balmont, Lyon
The Footlab model makes Nimes the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Lyon Duchere. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lyon Duchere vs Nimes?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Lyon Duchere (1,750) and Nimes (1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lyon Duchere have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Nimes have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rumilly Vallières(home) | 1-7 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Montpellier II(home) | 3-0 | National 3 - Group H |
| May 9, 2026 | Olympique Lyonnais II(away) | 4-2 | National 3 - Group H |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Fos(home) | 2-3 | National 3 - Group H |
| Apr 18, 2026 | ASPTT Dijon(away) | 4-2 | National 3 - Group H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Canet Roussillon(away) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Rodez(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nice(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Limonest(away) | 3-2 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Lyon Duchere win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Nimes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2019 | Lyon Duchere 3-0 Nimes | Coupe de France |
How many goals should we expect?
Lyon Duchere score 2.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nimes score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon Duchere | 2.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Nimes | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lyon Duchere sit 17th in National 2 - Group C (0 points from 1 matches) and Nimes sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nimes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Lyon Duchere | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lyon Duchere vs Nimes?
- The Footlab model makes Nimes the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Lyon Duchere.
- Where and when is Lyon Duchere vs Nimes played?
- Lyon Duchere vs Nimes is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Balmont, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.