Troyes II vs Saint-Priest: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 3Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas, Rosières-près-Troyes
The Footlab model makes Troyes II the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Saint-Priest. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Troyes II vs Saint-Priest?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Troyes II (1,776) and Saint-Priest (1,678).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Troyes II have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Saint-Priest have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Istres(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Besançon(away) | 3-2 | National 3 - Group F |
| May 9, 2026 | Mulhouse(home) | 5-0 | National 3 - Group F |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Torcy(away) | 1-2 | National 3 - Group F |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Thonon Évian(home) | 2-2 | National 3 - Group F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fréjus St-Raphaël(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Hyères(away) | 1-4 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Toulon(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 2, 2026 | St Maur Lusitanos(home) | 2-3 | National 2 - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
Troyes II score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Saint-Priest score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troyes II | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Saint-Priest | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Troyes II sit 12th in National 2 - Group C (1 points from 1 matches) and Saint-Priest sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Troyes II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | Saint-Priest | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Troyes II vs Saint-Priest?
- The Footlab model makes Troyes II the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Saint-Priest.
- Where and when is Troyes II vs Saint-Priest played?
- Troyes II vs Saint-Priest is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.