Maccabi Herzliya vs Hapoel Afula: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 19, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium Herzliya, Herzliya
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Herzliya the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Afula. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Herzliya vs Hapoel Afula?
Maccabi Herzliya starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,795 vs 1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Herzliya have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Afula have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(home) | 2-3 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(away) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Bnei Yehuda(away) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 20, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Saba(home) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion(away) | 2-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ashdod(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 1-4 | Liga Leumit |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Maccabi Herzliya win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Afula win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | Hapoel Afula 1-0 Maccabi Herzliya | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Maccabi Herzliya 1-0 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| Jan 3, 2025 | Hapoel Afula 2-3 Maccabi Herzliya | Liga Leumit |
| Sep 2, 2024 | Maccabi Herzliya 2-2 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 23, 2024 | Maccabi Herzliya 2-1 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| Nov 20, 2023 | Hapoel Afula 0-1 Maccabi Herzliya | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Herzliya on Dec 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Herzliya score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Afula score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Herzliya | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Hapoel Afula | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Herzliya sit 7th in Liga Leumit (3 points from 2 matches) and Hapoel Afula sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hapoel Afula | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Maccabi Herzliya | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Herzliya vs Hapoel Afula?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Herzliya the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Afula.
- Where and when is Maccabi Herzliya vs Hapoel Afula played?
- Maccabi Herzliya vs Hapoel Afula is played on February 19, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium Herzliya, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 19, 2027Hapoel AcrevsHapoel Kfar Shalem
- Feb 19, 2027Hapoel Rishon LeZionvsMaccabi Bnei Raina
- Feb 19, 2027Kafr QasimvsKiryat Yam SC
- Feb 19, 2027Hapoel Kfar SabavsMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
- Feb 19, 2027Bnei YehudavsHapoel Ra'anana
- Feb 19, 2027Ironi Modi'invsMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa
- Feb 19, 2027Maccabi Kiryat GatvsAshdod