Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Herzliya: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Afula Illit Stadium, Afula
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Herzliya the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Hapoel Afula. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Herzliya?
Maccabi Herzliya starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,795 vs 1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Afula have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Maccabi Herzliya have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ashdod(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 1-4 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(home) | 2-3 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(away) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Bnei Yehuda(away) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 20, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Saba(home) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion(away) | 2-1 | Liga Leumit |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hapoel Afula win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Maccabi Herzliya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | Hapoel Afula 1-0 Maccabi Herzliya | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Maccabi Herzliya 1-0 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| Jan 3, 2025 | Hapoel Afula 2-3 Maccabi Herzliya | Liga Leumit |
| Sep 2, 2024 | Maccabi Herzliya 2-2 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 23, 2024 | Maccabi Herzliya 2-1 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| Nov 20, 2023 | Hapoel Afula 0-1 Maccabi Herzliya | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Herzliya on Dec 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Afula score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Herzliya score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Afula | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Maccabi Herzliya | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Afula sit 4th in Liga Leumit (6 points from 2 matches) and Maccabi Herzliya sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hapoel Afula | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Maccabi Herzliya | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Herzliya?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Herzliya the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Hapoel Afula.
- Where and when is Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Herzliya played?
- Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Herzliya is played on October 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Afula Illit Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 16, 2026Maccabi Ahi NazarethvsHapoel Kfar Saba
- Oct 16, 2026AshdodvsMaccabi Kiryat Gat
- Oct 16, 2026Hapoel Ra'ananavsBnei Yehuda
- Oct 16, 2026Hapoel Kfar ShalemvsHapoel Acre
- Oct 16, 2026Maccabi Bnei RainavsHapoel Rishon LeZion
- Oct 16, 2026Maccabi Kabilio JaffavsIroni Modi'in
- Oct 16, 2026Kiryat Yam SCvsKafr Qasim