Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Ironi Modi'in: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 1, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Kiryat Gat Municipal Stadium, Kiryat Gat
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Gat the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Ironi Modi'in. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Ironi Modi'in?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Maccabi Kiryat Gat (1,795) and Ironi Modi'in (1,707).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Kiryat Gat have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Ironi Modi'in have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion(home) | 1-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(away) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Saba(away) | 4-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maccabi Herzliya(home) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Hapoel Nazareth Illit(away) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 14, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(home) | 0-1 | Liga Leumit |
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Kiryat Gat score 2.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Modi'in score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 2.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Ironi Modi'in | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Kiryat Gat sit 9th in Liga Leumit (3 points from 2 matches) and Ironi Modi'in sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ironi Modi'in | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Ironi Modi'in?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Gat the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Ironi Modi'in.
- Where and when is Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Ironi Modi'in played?
- Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Ironi Modi'in is played on January 1, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Kiryat Gat Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.