Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)HaMoshava Stadium, Pétaḥ-Tiqva (Petach-Tikva)
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Tel Aviv the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Maccabi Petah Tikva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
Maccabi Tel Aviv starts as the favourite with a 222-point Elo edge (2,079 vs 1,857).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Petah Tikva have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Maccabi Tel Aviv have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 2-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(away) | 3-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(home) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(away) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(home) | 1-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(away) | 5-2 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Lugano(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 13, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Maccabi Petah Tikva win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Maccabi Tel Aviv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 3-2 Maccabi Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Maccabi Petah Tikva 0-3 Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jul 15, 2024 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-0 Maccabi Petah Tikva | Super Cup |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Maccabi Petah Tikva 4-2 Maccabi Tel Aviv | State Cup |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 4-0 Maccabi Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 24, 2023 | Maccabi Petah Tikva 1-2 Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva on Dec 21, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Petah Tikva score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Tel Aviv score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Petah Tikva sit 3rd in Ligat Ha'al (3 points from 1 matches) and Maccabi Tel Aviv sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Tel Aviv the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Maccabi Petah Tikva.
- Where and when is Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv played?
- Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv is played on February 13, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at HaMoshava Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.