Maccabi Yavne vs Nordia Jerusalem: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 29Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Yavne Municipal Stadium, Yavne
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Yavne the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Nordia Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Yavne vs Nordia Jerusalem?
Maccabi Yavne starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,760 vs 1,626).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Yavne have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Nordia Jerusalem have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Dimona(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 2-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Maccabi Yavne win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Nordia Jerusalem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem 1-1 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Maccabi Yavne 1-1 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| May 15, 2025 | Nordia Jerusalem 2-1 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Nordia Jerusalem 1-0 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Maccabi Yavne 2-1 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Nordia Jerusalem 0-2 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Yavne on Jan 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Yavne score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Yavne | 2.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Nordia Jerusalem | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Yavne sit 4th in Liga Alef (36 points from 22 matches) and Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th (15 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Maccabi Yavne | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 36 |
| 16 | Nordia Jerusalem | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 40 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Yavne vs Nordia Jerusalem?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Yavne the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Nordia Jerusalem.
- Where and when is Maccabi Yavne vs Nordia Jerusalem played?
- Maccabi Yavne vs Nordia Jerusalem is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Yavne Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 12, 2027Hapoel AzorvsHolon Yermiyahu
- Mar 12, 2027Hapoel Mahane YehudavsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Mar 12, 2027Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsKfar Saba 1928
- Mar 12, 2027Tzeirey TiravsMaccabi Ashdod
- Mar 13, 2027DimonavsHapoel Hadera
- Mar 13, 2027Hapoel HerzliyavsBeitar Yavne
- Mar 13, 2027Hapoel SderotvsHapoel Marmorek
- Mar 13, 2027FC JerusalemvsHapoel Ramat HaSharon