Match

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Shimshon Tel Aviv: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 29Kick-off on March 12, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Moshava Training Field, Pétaḥ-Tiqva (Petach-Tikva)

Hapoel Mahane YehudaShimshon Tel Aviv

The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?

Shimshon Tel Aviv starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,676 vs 1,562).

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda win32 %
Draw27 %
Shimshon Tel Aviv win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Shimshon Tel Aviv have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jan 5, 2025Hapoel Hod HaSharon(away)1-5State Cup
Nov 11, 2024Agudat Sport Ashdod(away)0-1State Cup
Oct 8, 2024Hapoel Kiryat Ono(away)2-1State Cup
Sep 24, 2024Maccabi Giv'at Shmuel(home)3-1State Cup
Sep 6, 2024Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla(away)4-2State Cup
Shimshon Tel Aviv
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home)4-2Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(home)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026Maccabi Yavne(away)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Holon Yermiyahu(home)2-0Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Gat(home)1-3Liga Alef

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Shimshon Tel Aviv score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda1.71.928/1510/15
Shimshon Tel Aviv1.31.067/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Shimshon Tel Aviv22868282830

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda.
Where and when is Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Shimshon Tel Aviv played?
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Shimshon Tel Aviv is played on March 12, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Moshava Training Field, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda and Shimshon Tel Aviv

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