Machico vs Guarda: result 1-0 and analysis
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 23Kick-off on March 16, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Machico, Machico (Madeira)
Full time
What was the result of Machico vs Guarda?
Machico won 1-0 on March 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 90′Francisco AguilarMachico
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Machico have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Guarda have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Salgueiros(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Mar 2, 2025 | União Lamas(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Gondomar(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Marítimo II(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Cinfães(away) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Alpendorada(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Mar 3, 2025 | Salgueiros(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Feb 23, 2025 | União Lamas(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Gondomar(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Marítimo II(away) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Machico win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Guarda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | Guarda 3-0 Machico | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
Machico score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Guarda score 1.1 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machico | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Guarda | 1.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Machico sit 2nd in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (4 points from 2 matches) and Guarda sit 13th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Machico | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Guarda | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy