Machico vs Guarda: result 1-0 and analysis
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 23Kick-off on March 16, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Machico, Machico (Madeira)
Full time
What was the result of Machico vs Guarda?
Machico won 1-0 on March 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 90′Francisco AguilarMachico
Official lineup for Machico vs Guarda
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Machico
- RRudy
- EEmanuel Santos
- VVitor Fati
- LLeo Andrade
- RRodrigo Freitas
- DDiogo Coelho
- LLuís Miguel
- RRodrigo Coutinho
- GGraça
- LLucas Almeida
- PPedro Afonso Rocha Ferreira
Guarda
- DDeivison
- DDaniel Semedo
- TTiago Luís
- MMário Borges
- IIsnaba Ioncana
- GG. Benjumea
- PPedro Gomes Ricciulli Joao
- HHugo Alexandre Bulak Gavino
- RRafael Tavares
- RRogério Fernandes
- RRicardo Jorge Oliveira Morais
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Machico have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Guarda have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Salgueiros(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Mar 2, 2025 | União Lamas(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Gondomar(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Marítimo II(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Cinfães(away) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Alpendorada(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Mar 3, 2025 | Salgueiros(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Feb 23, 2025 | União Lamas(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Gondomar(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Marítimo II(away) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Machico wins, 0 draws, 1 Guarda win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | Guarda 3-0 Machico | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
Machico score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Guarda score 1.1 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machico | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Guarda | 1.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Machico sit 2nd in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (11 points from 5 matches) and Guarda sit 13th (1 point from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Machico | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
| 13 | Guarda | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
A question about Machico vs Guarda?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy