Macva vs Mladost Lucani: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Mačva, Šabac
The Footlab model makes Macva the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Mladost Lucani. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Macva vs Mladost Lucani?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Macva (1,666) and Mladost Lucani (1,682).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macva have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Mladost Lucani have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Radnicki NIS(home) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Radnik Surdulica(away) | 1-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd(home) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Vojvodina(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FK Partizan(home) | 1-3 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FK Partizan(home) | 3-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zemun(away) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cukaricki(home) | 2-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Železničar Pančevo(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Novi Pazar(home) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Macva win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Mladost Lucani win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | Macva 2-1 Mladost Lucani | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 6, 2021 | Macva 0-2 Mladost Lucani | Super Liga |
| Oct 17, 2020 | Mladost Lucani 2-1 Macva | Super Liga |
| Jun 7, 2020 | Mladost Lucani 2-1 Macva | Super Liga |
| Oct 26, 2019 | Macva 0-1 Mladost Lucani | Super Liga |
| Feb 16, 2019 | Macva 0-1 Mladost Lucani | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Macva vs Mladost Lucani on Jul 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Macva score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mladost Lucani score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macva | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Mladost Lucani | 1.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Macva sit 10th in Super Liga (6 points from 6 matches) and Mladost Lucani sit 4th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mladost Lucani | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 10 | Macva | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Macva vs Mladost Lucani?
- The Footlab model makes Macva the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Mladost Lucani.
- Where and when is Macva vs Mladost Lucani played?
- Macva vs Mladost Lucani is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Mačva, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.