Novi Pazar vs Zemun: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Caizcoin Arena, Novi Pazar
The Footlab model makes Novi Pazar the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Zemun. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Novi Pazar vs Zemun?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Novi Pazar (1,696) and Zemun (1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novi Pazar have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Zemun have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radnik Surdulica(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vojvodina(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | OFK Beograd(home) | 1-4 | Super Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | OFK Beograd(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(home) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Radnicki 1923(away) | 0-3 | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Radnicki NIS(home) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd(away) | 0-4 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Novi Pazar win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Zemun win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2020 | Zemun 1-1 Novi Pazar | Prva Liga |
| Sep 15, 2019 | Novi Pazar 2-1 Zemun | Prva Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Novi Pazar score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Zemun score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novi Pazar | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Zemun | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Novi Pazar sit 9th in Super Liga (7 points from 6 matches) and Zemun sit 14th (1 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Novi Pazar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | Zemun | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Novi Pazar vs Zemun?
- The Footlab model makes Novi Pazar the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Zemun.
- Where and when is Novi Pazar vs Zemun played?
- Novi Pazar vs Zemun is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Caizcoin Arena, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.