Macva vs Novi Pazar: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Mačva, Šabac
The Footlab model makes Macva the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Novi Pazar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Macva vs Novi Pazar?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Macva (1,666) and Novi Pazar (1,696).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macva have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Novi Pazar have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Radnicki NIS(home) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Radnik Surdulica(away) | 1-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd(home) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Vojvodina(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FK Partizan(home) | 1-3 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radnik Surdulica(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vojvodina(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | OFK Beograd(home) | 1-4 | Super Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Macva win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Novi Pazar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2026 | Macva 2-1 Novi Pazar | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Novi Pazar 4-0 Macva | Super Liga |
| Aug 23, 2020 | Macva 1-1 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Macva score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Novi Pazar score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macva | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Novi Pazar | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Macva sit 10th in Super Liga (6 points from 6 matches) and Novi Pazar sit 9th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Novi Pazar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 10 | Macva | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Macva vs Novi Pazar?
- The Footlab model makes Macva the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Novi Pazar.
- Where and when is Macva vs Novi Pazar played?
- Macva vs Novi Pazar is played on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Mačva, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.