Madla vs Haugesund II: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 4Regular Season - 20Kick-off on September 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Madla Handelslag Stadion, Hafrsfjord
The Footlab model makes Madla the favourite at 72%, against 14% for a draw and 14% for Haugesund II. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Madla vs Haugesund II?
Madla starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,720 vs 1,559).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Madla have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Haugesund II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vidar(home) | 3-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Viking II(away) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vindbjart(home) | 4-3 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Våg(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Flekkerøy(home) | 5-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Staal Jørpeland(away) | 4-3 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Viking II(home) | 4-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Flekkerøy(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Varhaug(home) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Brodd(away) | 0-4 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Madla win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Haugesund II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2026 | Haugesund II 3-2 Madla | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Sep 1, 2025 | Madla 0-1 Haugesund II | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 28, 2025 | Haugesund II 1-4 Madla | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
Last archived meeting: Haugesund II vs Madla on Jun 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Madla score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Haugesund II score 2.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 87% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madla | 2.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Haugesund II | 2.3 | 2.5 | 0 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Madla sit 1st in 3. Division - Girone 4 (32 points from 16 matches) and Haugesund II sit 8th (21 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madla | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 24 | 32 |
| 8 | Haugesund II | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 36 | 40 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Madla vs Haugesund II?
- The Footlab model makes Madla the favourite at 72%, against 14% for a draw and 14% for Haugesund II.
- Where and when is Madla vs Haugesund II played?
- Madla vs Haugesund II is played on September 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Madla Handelslag Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 87% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.