Madureira vs Guaratinguetá: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 9Kick-off on August 2, 2014 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Aniceto Moscoso, Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Madureira vs Guaratinguetá?
Madureira won 3-1 on August 2, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 3′Victor BoltMadureira (pen.)
- 59′Clebson Fontoura SoutoMadureira
- 69′Victor BoltMadureira
- 85′NadsonGuaratinguetá
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Madureira have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Guaratinguetá have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2014 | Juventude(away) | 2-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 19, 2014 | Caxias(home) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| May 31, 2014 | Tupi(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| May 24, 2014 | São Caetano(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| May 17, 2014 | Macaé(home) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2014 | São Caetano(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 20, 2014 | Juventude(away) | 2-0 | Serie C |
| May 31, 2014 | Macaé(home) | 4-1 | Serie C |
| May 27, 2014 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 5-1 | Serie C |
| May 18, 2014 | Duque de Caxias(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Madureira score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Guaratinguetá score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madureira | 0.7 | 0.8 | 5 | 5/15 | 0/15 |
| Guaratinguetá | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy