São Caetano vs Duque de Caxias: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 9Kick-off on August 3, 2014 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Anacleto Campanella, São Caetano do Sul, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of São Caetano vs Duque de Caxias?
Duque de Caxias won 0-1 on August 3, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 3′Matheus Cardoso de SouzaDuque de Caxias
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, São Caetano have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Duque de Caxias have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2014 | Guaratinguetá(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 19, 2014 | Tupi(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| May 31, 2014 | Juventude(home) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| May 24, 2014 | Madureira(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| May 18, 2014 | Mogi Mirim(home) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2014 | Tupi(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Jul 19, 2014 | Macaé(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Jun 3, 2014 | Guarani Campinas(home) | 0-2 | Serie C |
| May 24, 2014 | Caxias(away) | 0-3 | Serie C |
| May 18, 2014 | Guaratinguetá(away) | 1-1 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
São Caetano score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Duque de Caxias score 0.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Caetano | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Duque de Caxias | 0.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy