Magpies vs Glacis United: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes Magpies the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Glacis United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Magpies vs Glacis United?
Magpies starts as the favourite with a 231-point Elo edge (1,334 vs 1,103).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Magpies have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Glacis United have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Europa Point(away) | 3-0 | Premier Division |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Lynx(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Hound Dogs(away) | 0-0 | Rock Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Europa(away) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Mons Calpe(home) | 0-2 | Rock Cup |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(home) | 0-5 | Premier Division |
| Feb 14, 2026 | College 1975(away) | 2-0 | Rock Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Magpies win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Glacis United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Magpies 3-1 Glacis United | Premier Division |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Glacis United 0-1 Magpies | Premier Division |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Glacis United 0-5 Magpies | Premier Division |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Magpies 3-1 Glacis United | Premier Division |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Glacis United 1-2 Magpies | Premier Division |
| Dec 8, 2023 | Magpies 3-0 Glacis United | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Magpies vs Glacis United on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Magpies score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Glacis United score 0.9 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magpies | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Glacis United | 0.9 | 2.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Magpies sit 6th in Premier Division (1 points from 1 matches) and Glacis United sit 1st (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Glacis United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | Magpies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Magpies vs Glacis United?
- The Footlab model makes Magpies the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Glacis United.
- Where and when is Magpies vs Glacis United played?
- Magpies vs Glacis United is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.