Glacis United vs Magpies: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes Magpies the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Glacis United. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Glacis United vs Magpies?
Magpies starts as the favourite with a 231-point Elo edge (1,335 vs 1,103).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Glacis United have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Magpies have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Europa(away) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Mons Calpe(home) | 0-2 | Rock Cup |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(home) | 0-5 | Premier Division |
| Feb 14, 2026 | College 1975(away) | 2-0 | Rock Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Europa Point(away) | 3-0 | Premier Division |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Lynx(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Hound Dogs(away) | 0-0 | Rock Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Glacis United win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Magpies win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Magpies 3-1 Glacis United | Premier Division |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Glacis United 0-1 Magpies | Premier Division |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Glacis United 0-5 Magpies | Premier Division |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Magpies 3-1 Glacis United | Premier Division |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Glacis United 1-2 Magpies | Premier Division |
| Dec 8, 2023 | Magpies 3-0 Glacis United | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Magpies vs Glacis United on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Glacis United score 0.9 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Magpies score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glacis United | 0.9 | 2.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Magpies | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Glacis United sit 1st in Premier Division (1 points from 1 matches) and Magpies sit 4th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Glacis United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | Magpies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Glacis United vs Magpies?
- The Footlab model makes Magpies the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Glacis United.
- Where and when is Glacis United vs Magpies played?
- Glacis United vs Magpies is played on October 25, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.