Magpies vs Lincoln Red Imps FC: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes Lincoln Red Imps FC the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Magpies. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Magpies vs Lincoln Red Imps FC?
Lincoln Red Imps FC is a heavy favourite: 1,747 Elo points against 1,335, a 412-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Magpies have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Lincoln Red Imps FC have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Europa Point(away) | 3-0 | Premier Division |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Lynx(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Hound Dogs(away) | 0-0 | Rock Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(home) | 3-1 | Super Cup |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Larne(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Magpies win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Lincoln Red Imps FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | Magpies 1-2 Lincoln Red Imps FC | Premier Division |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Lincoln Red Imps FC 7-0 Magpies | Premier Division |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Lincoln Red Imps FC 3-0 Magpies | Super Cup |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Lincoln Red Imps FC 1-0 Magpies | Premier Division |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Magpies 2-1 Lincoln Red Imps FC | Rock Cup |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Lincoln Red Imps FC 2-0 Magpies | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Magpies vs Lincoln Red Imps FC on Mar 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Magpies score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lincoln Red Imps FC score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magpies | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magpies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Magpies vs Lincoln Red Imps FC?
- The Footlab model makes Lincoln Red Imps FC the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Magpies.
- Where and when is Magpies vs Lincoln Red Imps FC played?
- Magpies vs Lincoln Red Imps FC is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.