Magpies vs Europa: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab AI model makes Magpies the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Europa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Magpies wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,453 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Magpies vs Europa?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Magpies (1,395) and Europa (1,447).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Magpies vs Europa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Magpies
4-3-3- 77D. Luts
- 7P. Corr
- 9D. Borge
- 6L. Gilmore
- 8H. Ojamaa
- 10M. Miller
- 29J. Saliste
- 5G. Juhkam
- 23M. Delević
- 24F. Villar
- 99E. Jarju
Europa
4-2-3-1- 73Aldair Issac Ruiz Ruiz
- 10Alberto Quintana
- 44Borja Fernández
- 18Bauti
- 14Fran Paul
- 24Gonzalo Giménez Munzón
- 4Admonio
- 16A. Mouelhi
- 26Mustafa Drammeh
- 3M. Vales
- 1C. López
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Magpies have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Europa have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(home) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Glacis United(away) | 3-0 | Premier Division |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Europa Point(home) | 6-1 | Premier Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | College 1975(away) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Hound Dogs(home) | 4-0 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(away) | 0-1 | Premier Division |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Lynx(home) | 2-0 | Premier Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mons Calpe(home) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(away) | 0-3 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Magpies wins, 2 draws, 4 Europa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Europa 1-1 Magpies | Premier Division |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Europa 2-1 Magpies | Premier Division |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Magpies 1-2 Europa | Premier Division |
| May 4, 2025 | Europa 4-2 Magpies | Premier Division |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Europa 2-0 Magpies | Premier Division |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Magpies 0-0 Europa | Premier Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Magpies score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Europa score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magpies | 2.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Europa | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Magpies sit 1st in Premier Division (11 points from 5 matches) and Europa sit 8th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magpies | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Europa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Magpies vs Europa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Magpies vs Europa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Magpies the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Europa.
- Where and when is Magpies vs Europa played?
- Magpies vs Europa is played on November 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.