Where and when is Mahasarakham United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya played?

Mahasarakham United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya is played on February 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, in the Thai League 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mahasarakham United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 24Kick-off on February 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, Maha Sarakham

Mahasarakham United

Nong Bua Pitchaya

The Footlab model makes Mahasarakham United the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Nong Bua Pitchaya. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mahasarakham United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Mahasarakham United (1,460) and Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511).

Mahasarakham United win47 %

Draw24 %

Nong Bua Pitchaya win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mahasarakham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mahasarakham United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Khon Kaen United(home)	2-2	Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026	Rasi Salai United(away)	0-3	Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026	Nakhon Pathom(home)	0-2	Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026	Trat FC(away)	0-2	Thai League 2
Mar 18, 2026	BG Pathum United(away)	0-3	League Cup

Nong Bua Pitchaya
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Pattani(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
May 16, 2026	Pattani(home)	2-1	Thai League 2
May 9, 2026	Police Tero(home)	3-1	Thai League 2
May 3, 2026	Police Tero(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026	Rasi Salai United(home)	3-3	Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Mahasarakham United win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Nong Bua Pitchaya win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 17, 2026	Mahasarakham United 1-3 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 2
Aug 26, 2025	Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-1 Mahasarakham United	Thai League 2

Last archived meeting: Mahasarakham United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya on Jan 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mahasarakham United score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mahasarakham United	1.2	1.1	6	4/15	8/15
Nong Bua Pitchaya	2.1	2.1	0	14/15	14/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mahasarakham United sit 8th in Thai League 2 (45 points from 34 matches) and Nong Bua Pitchaya sit 4th (54 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Nong Bua Pitchaya	34	16	6	12	59	59	54
8	Mahasarakham United	34	12	9	13	47	42	45

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mahasarakham United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?: The Footlab model makes Mahasarakham United the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Nong Bua Pitchaya.
Where and when is Mahasarakham United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya played?: Mahasarakham United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya is played on February 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.