Police Tero vs Muangthong United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 24Kick-off on February 17, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Boonyachinda Stadium, Bangkok
The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Police Tero. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Police Tero vs Muangthong United?
Muangthong United starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,616 vs 1,474).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police Tero have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Muangthong United have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chanthaburi(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Phrae United(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | BG Pathum United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chonburi FC(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chiangrai United(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Police Tero win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Muangthong United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2024 | Muangthong United 3-1 Police Tero | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Police Tero 2-1 Muangthong United | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Muangthong United 1-0 Police Tero | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Police Tero 2-1 Muangthong United | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 6, 2022 | Police Tero 0-2 Muangthong United | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Muangthong United 2-1 Police Tero | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Muangthong United vs Police Tero on Mar 31, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Muangthong United score 0.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police Tero | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Muangthong United | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 44 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Police Tero vs Muangthong United?
- The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Police Tero.
- Where and when is Police Tero vs Muangthong United played?
- Police Tero vs Muangthong United is played on February 17, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Boonyachinda Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Feb 16, 2027ChainatvsKanchanaburi
- Feb 17, 2027Esan PattayavsNakhon Ratchasima FC
- Feb 17, 2027Muang Loei UnitedvsKhon Kaen United
- Feb 17, 2027SatunvsKasetsart FC
- Feb 18, 2027Phrae UnitedvsSongkhla
- Feb 18, 2027Chiangmai UnitedvsChanthaburi
- Feb 18, 2027Mahasarakham UnitedvsNong Bua Pitchaya