Mainz 05 W vs Nürnberg W: prediction and stats
Frauen BundesligaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion am Bruchweg, Mainz
The Footlab AI model makes Mainz 05 W the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Nürnberg W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mainz 05 W wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mainz 05 W vs Nürnberg W?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Mainz 05 W (1,828) and Nürnberg W (1,793).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mainz 05 W vs Nürnberg W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mainz 05 W
Not enough data to predict the Mainz 05 W lineup.
Nürnberg W
4-4-2- 15E. Papai
- 99L. Lapassouse
- 24N. Lein
- 11L. Meroni
- 10J. Brengel
- 6C. Coutel
- 2L. Varley
- 17M. Bleil
- 4A. Lobanova
- 22J. Pollak
- 1L. Romero
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mainz 05 W have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Nürnberg W have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | RB Leipzig W(away) | 0-5 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ingolstadt W(away) | 6-1 | DFB Pokal - Women |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt W(home) | 2-3 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | SC Freiburg W(away) | 0-3 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FC Koln W(home) | 0-4 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim W(home) | 1-2 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Buntentor W(away) | 10-0 | DFB Pokal - Women |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Hamburger SV W(away) | 1-5 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | RB Leipzig W(away) | 1-2 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Stuttgart W(home) | 3-3 | Frauen Bundesliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Mainz 05 W score 2.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Nürnberg W score 2.1 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz 05 W | 2.8 | 1.6 | 5 | 6/15 | 14/15 |
| Nürnberg W | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mainz 05 W sit 14th in Frauen Bundesliga (0 points from 6 matches) and Nürnberg W sit 13th (2 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nürnberg W | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 2 |
| 14 | Mainz 05 W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
A question about Mainz 05 W vs Nürnberg W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mainz 05 W vs Nürnberg W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mainz 05 W the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Nürnberg W.
- Where and when is Mainz 05 W vs Nürnberg W played?
- Mainz 05 W vs Nürnberg W is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Bruchweg, in the Frauen Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.