Makedonikos Neapolis vs PAO Kristoni: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 2Group 2 - 11Kick-off on December 2, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gipedo Neas Efkarpias Makedonikou, Thessaloníki
The Footlab model makes Makedonikos Neapolis the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for PAO Kristoni. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Makedonikos Neapolis vs PAO Kristoni?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Makedonikos Neapolis (1,478) and PAO Kristoni (1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Makedonikos Neapolis have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; PAO Kristoni have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | PAOK II(away) | 1-3 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Kavala(away) | 1-5 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kampaniakos Chalastra(home) | 4-3 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Nestos Chrisoupolis(home) | 0-2 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | PAS Giannina(away) | 2-2 | Super League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Kilkisiakos(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Orestis Orestiadas(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Thermaikos Thermis(away) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Apollon Krya Vrysi(home) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | PAOK Dytiko(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Makedonikos Neapolis score 1.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; PAO Kristoni score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makedonikos Neapolis | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| PAO Kristoni | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Makedonikos Neapolis vs PAO Kristoni?
- The Footlab model makes Makedonikos Neapolis the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for PAO Kristoni.
- Where and when is Makedonikos Neapolis vs PAO Kristoni played?
- Makedonikos Neapolis vs PAO Kristoni is played on December 2, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gipedo Neas Efkarpias Makedonikou, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.