Agiou Nikolaou vs Mpam: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 2Group 2 - 11Kick-off on December 2, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Agiou Nikolaou the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Mpam. The most likely score is 1-1. If Agiou Nikolaou wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,608 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Agiou Nikolaou vs Mpam?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Agiou Nikolaou (1,572) and Mpam (1,566).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Agiou Nikolaou vs Mpam
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Agiou Nikolaou
Not enough data to predict the Agiou Nikolaou lineup.
Mpam
Not enough data to predict the Mpam lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 03:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Agiou Nikolaou have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Mpam have 2, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | PAO Kristoni(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Panedessaikos(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Finikas Polichnis(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Polykastrou(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Iraklis Therm.(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Makedonikos Neapolis(home) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Kilkisiakos(away) | 4-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Akrites Sykeon(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | PAO Kristoni(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Agiou Nikolaou score 1.4 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 5; Mpam score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agiou Nikolaou | 1.4 | 0.6 | 2 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| Mpam | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0 | 5/6 | 4/6 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
A question about Agiou Nikolaou vs Mpam?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Agiou Nikolaou vs Mpam?
- The Footlab AI model makes Agiou Nikolaou the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Mpam.
- Where and when is Agiou Nikolaou vs Mpam played?
- Agiou Nikolaou vs Mpam is played on December 2, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.