Match

Makedonikos Siatista vs Kastoria: prediction and stats

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3Group 3 - 13Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

Makedonikos SiatistaKastoria

The Footlab model makes Makedonikos Siatista the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Kastoria. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Makedonikos Siatista vs Kastoria?

Makedonikos Siatista win49 %
Draw28 %
Kastoria win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Makedonikos Siatista have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Kastoria have 0, 5 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kastoria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 28, 2024Svoronos(home)0-4Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Apr 24, 2024Eordaikos(away)1-2Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Apr 20, 2024Asteras Petriti(home)0-2Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Apr 14, 2024Zakynthos(home)0-2Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Mar 31, 2024Thyella Katsikas(home)0-2Gamma Ethniki - Group 2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Makedonikos Siatista vs Kastoria?
The Footlab model makes Makedonikos Siatista the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Kastoria.
Where and when is Makedonikos Siatista vs Kastoria played?
Makedonikos Siatista vs Kastoria is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Makedonikos Siatista and Kastoria

Ready to know everything about football?