Malaga vs AC Milan: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup stage - 3Kick-off on October 24, 2012 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Estadio La Rosaleda, Málaga
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What was the result of Malaga vs AC Milan?
Malaga won 1-0 on October 24, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 64′JoaquínMalaga
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malaga have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; AC Milan have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2012 | Valladolid(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 7, 2012 | Atletico Madrid(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 3, 2012 | Anderlecht(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Real Betis(home) | 4-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Athletic Club(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2012 | Lazio(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 7, 2012 | Inter(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2012 | Zenit(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Parma(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 26, 2012 | Cagliari(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Malaga score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; AC Milan score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 1.6 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| AC Milan | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | AC Milan | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy