Malaga vs AD Ceuta FC: result 2-1 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 11, 2026 at 03:15 PM (UTC)Estadio La Rosaleda, Málaga
Full time
What was the result of Malaga vs AD Ceuta FC?
Malaga won 2-1 on January 11, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 3′KukiAD Ceuta FC
- 43′ChupeMalaga (pen.)
- 45′ChupeMalaga
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malaga have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; AD Ceuta FC have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Almeria(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Albacete(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Zaragoza(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Dec 3, 2025 | CF Talavera(away) | 1-2 | Copa del Rey |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Las Palmas(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Granada CF(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Guadalajara(away) | 0-1 | Copa del Rey |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Malaga win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 AD Ceuta FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | Malaga 1-1 AD Ceuta FC | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 14, 2024 | AD Ceuta FC 3-2 Malaga | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Malaga score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; AD Ceuta FC score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| AD Ceuta FC | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy