Malawi vs Sao Tome and Principe: result 3-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification AfricaGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on June 6, 2024 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bingu National Stadium, Lilongwe
Full time
What was the result of Malawi vs Sao Tome and Principe?
Malawi won 3-1 on June 6, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 6′Chawanangwa KaongaMalawi
- 14′Lanjesi NkhomaMalawi
- 67′609033Sao Tome and Principe
- 78′C. MphasiMalawi
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malawi have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Sao Tome and Principe have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | Zambia(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Kenya(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Tunisia(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 17, 2023 | Liberia(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Guinea(home) | 2-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | South Sudan(away) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 22, 2024 | South Sudan(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Namibia(home) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 17, 2023 | Tunisia(away) | 0-4 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Nigeria(away) | 0-6 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Malawi score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sao Tome and Principe score 0.7 and concede 3.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malawi | 0.8 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Sao Tome and Principe | 0.7 | 3.0 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malawi sit 4th in World Cup - Qualification Africa (13 points from 10 matches) and Sao Tome and Principe sit 6th (3 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Malawi | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 13 |
| 6 | Sao Tome and Principe | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 26 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy