South Sudan vs Malawi: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 5Kick-off on March 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Juba Stadium, Juba
The Footlab AI model makes South Sudan the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Malawi. The most likely score is 1-1. If South Sudan wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win South Sudan vs Malawi?
On Elo ratings, South Sudan has 1,342 points and Malawi 1,445.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for South Sudan vs Malawi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
South Sudan
4-4-2- 10J. Dwang
- 18K. Majak
- 7Valentino Kuach Yuel
- 5C. Yak
- 15M. Albano
- 12M. Malish
- 2B. Laku
- 13S. Taban
- 3R. Okocha
- 7D. John
- 23M. Mawith
Malawi
5-4-1- 11C. Mphasi
- 8L. Njaliwa
- 7M. Mhango
- 14B. Singini
- 19G. Chirwa
- 3C. Petro
- 20E. Nyirenda
- 2M. Lameck
- 5D. Chembezi
- 5Nickson Nyasulu
- 16William Thole
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 05:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, South Sudan have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Malawi have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Egypt(home) | 0-5 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Malawi(away) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Djibouti(home) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Djibouti(away) | 4-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Syria(away) | 0-2 | Arab Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Angola(away) | 1-3 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | South Sudan(home) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Ethiopia(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Ethiopia(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Botswana(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 South Sudan win, 0 draws, 3 Malawi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Malawi 2-1 South Sudan | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2021 | South Sudan 0-1 Malawi | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 13, 2019 | Malawi 1-0 South Sudan | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 27, 2015 | South Sudan 2-0 Malawi | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
Last archived meeting: Malawi vs South Sudan on Sep 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
South Sudan score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Malawi score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Sudan | 0.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Malawi | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
South Sudan sit 4th in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (0 points from 2 matches) and Malawi sit 3rd (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Malawi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | South Sudan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
A question about South Sudan vs Malawi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for South Sudan vs Malawi?
- The Footlab AI model makes South Sudan the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Malawi.
- Where and when is South Sudan vs Malawi played?
- South Sudan vs Malawi is played on March 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Juba Stadium, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.