Match

Maldon & Tiptree vs Lewes: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Drewitt-Barlow Stadium, Maldon, Essex

Maldon & TiptreeLewes

The Footlab model makes Maldon & Tiptree the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Lewes. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maldon & Tiptree vs Lewes?

Maldon & Tiptree starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,901 vs 1,723).

Maldon & Tiptree win61 %
Draw21 %
Lewes win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maldon & Tiptree have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Lewes have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maldon & Tiptree
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leatherhead(away)4-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Dartford(home)1-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Aveley(home)1-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Dulwich Hamlet(away)0-6Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Walthamstow(away)2-3Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Lewes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Whyteleafe(home)3-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026St Albans City(away)2-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Whitehawk(away)0-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Enfield Town(home)0-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Chatham Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Isthmian

How many goals should we expect?

Maldon & Tiptree score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lewes score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maldon & Tiptree1.91.368/1510/15
Lewes1.11.738/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maldon & Tiptree sit 12th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (6 points from 4 matches) and Lewes sit 9th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Lewes4211557
12Maldon & Tiptree4202696

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maldon & Tiptree vs Lewes?
The Footlab model makes Maldon & Tiptree the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Lewes.
Where and when is Maldon & Tiptree vs Lewes played?
Maldon & Tiptree vs Lewes is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Drewitt-Barlow Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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