Where and when is Lewes vs Maldon & Tiptree played?

Lewes vs Maldon & Tiptree is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Dripping Pan, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lewes vs Maldon & Tiptree: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Dripping Pan, Lewes, East Sussex

Lewes

Maldon & Tiptree

The Footlab model makes Maldon & Tiptree the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Lewes. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lewes vs Maldon & Tiptree?

Maldon & Tiptree starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,869 vs 1,691).

Lewes win24 %

Draw23 %

Maldon & Tiptree win53 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lewes have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Maldon & Tiptree have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lewes
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Whyteleafe(home)	3-1	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026	St Albans City(away)	2-0	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026	Whitehawk(away)	0-0	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026	Enfield Town(home)	0-4	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026	Chatham Town(away)	1-2	Non League Premier - Isthmian

Maldon & Tiptree
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Leatherhead(away)	4-1	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026	Dartford(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026	Aveley(home)	1-0	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026	Dulwich Hamlet(away)	0-6	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026	Walthamstow(away)	2-3	Non League Div One - Isthmian North

How many goals should we expect?

Lewes score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Maldon & Tiptree score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lewes	1.1	1.7	3	8/15	11/15
Maldon & Tiptree	1.9	1.3	6	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lewes sit 9th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Maldon & Tiptree sit 12th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Lewes	4	2	1	1	5	5	7
12	Maldon & Tiptree	4	2	0	2	6	9	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lewes vs Maldon & Tiptree?: The Footlab model makes Maldon & Tiptree the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Lewes.
Where and when is Lewes vs Maldon & Tiptree played?: Lewes vs Maldon & Tiptree is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Dripping Pan, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.