Mali vs Burkina Faso: result 1-0 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on January 16, 2021 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Omnisport Ahmadou Ahidjo, Yaoundé
Full time
What was the result of Mali vs Burkina Faso?
Mali won 1-0 on January 16, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 70′S. BagayokoMali
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mali have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Burkina Faso have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2020 | Namibia(away) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 13, 2020 | Namibia(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 9, 2020 | Ghana(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Chad(away) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 14, 2019 | Guinea(home) | 2-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2020 | Malawi(away) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 12, 2020 | Malawi(home) | 3-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 12, 2020 | Madagascar(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 9, 2020 | Congo DR(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2019 | South Sudan(away) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Mali win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Burkina Faso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2017 | Mali 2-1 Burkina Faso | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Mali score 1.8 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Burkina Faso score 1.1 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mali | 1.8 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Burkina Faso | 1.1 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Burkina Faso | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy