Mali vs Senegal: result 0-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of NationsQuarter-finalsKick-off on January 9, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade 26 Mars, Bamako
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What was the result of Mali vs Senegal?
Senegal won 0-1 on January 9, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 27′I. NdiayeSenegal
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mali have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Senegal have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Tunisia(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Comoros(away) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Morocco(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Zambia(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Jordan(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Sudan(home) | 3-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Benin(away) | 3-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Congo DR(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 23, 2025 | Botswana(home) | 3-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Kenya(home) | 8-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Mali win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Senegal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2019 | Senegal 2-1 Mali | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Mali score 1.4 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Senegal score 2.4 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mali | 1.4 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Senegal | 2.4 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mali sit 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations (3 points from 3 matches) and Senegal sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Mali | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy