Malole vs TP Mazembe: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 25Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 68%, against 23% for a draw and 9% for Malole. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malole vs TP Mazembe?
TP Mazembe is a heavy favourite: 1,960 Elo points against 1,514, a 446-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Malole vs TP Mazembe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Malole
Not enough data to predict the Malole lineup.
TP Mazembe
4-3-3- 20B. Beenga
- 13Cheick Oumar Abdallah Fofana
- 27G. Mujaya
- 28Jean Louis Barthelemy Diouf
- 11M. Ngimbi
- 17B. Ngalamulume
- 5A. Zon
- 26A. Fabrice
- 38L. Ameka
- 37P. Mwamba
- 33A. Faty
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malole have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; TP Mazembe have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Sanga Balende(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Don Bosco(away) | 2-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Tanganyika(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Saint-Luc(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | TP Mazembe(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 3-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Céleste(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Don Bosco(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Malole wins, 1 draw, 3 TP Mazembe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Malole 0-3 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TP Mazembe 2-0 Malole | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Malole 0-1 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | TP Mazembe 1-1 Malole | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Malole score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; TP Mazembe score 1.8 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malole | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| TP Mazembe | 1.8 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malole sit 11th in Ligue 1 (33 points from 30 matches) and TP Mazembe sit 1st (73 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TP Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57 | 12 | 73 |
| 11 | Malole | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34 | 39 | 33 |
A question about Malole vs TP Mazembe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malole vs TP Mazembe?
- The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 68%, against 23% for a draw and 9% for Malole.
- Where and when is Malole vs TP Mazembe played?
- Malole vs TP Mazembe is played on March 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.