Malta vs Eswatini: prediction and stats
FriendliesFriendly InternationalKick-off on November 12, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Ta'Qali National Stadium, Ta'Qali
The Footlab AI model makes Malta the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Eswatini. The most likely score is 1-1. If Malta wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malta vs Eswatini?
On Elo ratings, Malta has 1,290 points and Eswatini 1,371.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Malta vs Eswatini
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Malta
4-2-3-1- 11I. Cardona
- 7J. Mbong
- 20I. Chouaref
- 10T. Teuma
- 23A. Satariano
- 6B. Paiber
- 21J. Corbalan
- 5K. Shaw
- 13E. Pepe
- 3R. Camenzuli
- 1H. Bonello
Eswatini
4-3-3- 7J. Figuareido
- 17M. Tsabedze
- 8T. Mavuso
- 10Andy Junior Magagula
- 6M. Mkhonto
- 2I. Dlamini
- 3N. Shongwe
- 22Simanga Masangane
- 18G. Gamedze
- 12Sibonelo Mabuya Sibandze
- 16M. L. Makhanya
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 12:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malta have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Eswatini have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Andorra(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Gibraltar(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Liechtenstein(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Andorra(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Azerbaijan(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Eritrea(home) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Eritrea(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Cape Verde Islands(away) | 0-3 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Angola(home) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Libya(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Malta score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Eswatini score 0.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malta | 1.1 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Eswatini | 0.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Malta vs Eswatini?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malta vs Eswatini?
- The Footlab AI model makes Malta the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Eswatini.
- Where and when is Malta vs Eswatini played?
- Malta vs Eswatini is played on November 12, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Ta'Qali National Stadium, in the Friendlies.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.