Malta vs Italy: result 0-2 and analysis
Euro Championship - QualificationQualifying Round - 2Kick-off on March 26, 2023 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Ta'Qali National Stadium, Ta'Qali
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What was the result of Malta vs Italy?
Italy won 0-2 on March 26, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 15′M. ReteguiItaly
- 27′M. PessinaItaly
Official lineup for Malta vs Italy
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Malta
3-5-2- 23J. Jones
- 14A. Satariano
- 15J. Corbalan
- 20Y. Yankam
- 6M. Guillaumier
- 17N. Muscat
- 7J. Mbong
- 2C. Attard
- 4S. Borg
- 13F. Apap
- 1H. Bonello
Italy
4-3-3- 10W. Gnonto
- 19M. Retegui
- 17M. Politano
- 20S. Tonali
- 16B. Cristante
- 12M. Pessina
- 13Emerson
- 23A. Romagnoli
- 14G. Scalvini
- 2G. Di Lorenzo
- 1G. Donnarumma
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malta have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Italy have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | FYR Macedonia(away) | 1-2 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Rep. Of Ireland(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2022 | Greece(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Sep 27, 2022 | Israel(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 23, 2022 | Estonia(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | England(home) | 1-2 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Austria(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Nov 16, 2022 | Albania(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 26, 2022 | Hungary(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 23, 2022 | England(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Malta score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Italy score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malta | 1.1 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Italy | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malta sit 5th in Euro Championship - Qualification (0 points from 8 matches) and Italy sit 2nd (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Italy | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 14 |
| 5 | Malta | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 20 | 0 |
A question about Malta vs Italy?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy