Northern Ireland vs Finland: result 0-1 and analysis
Euro Championship - QualificationQualifying Round - 2Kick-off on March 26, 2023 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Windsor Park, Belfast
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What was the result of Northern Ireland vs Finland?
Finland won 0-1 on March 26, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 28′B. KällmanFinland
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Northern Ireland have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Finland have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | San Marino(away) | 2-0 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Sep 27, 2022 | Greece(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Kosovo(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 12, 2022 | Cyprus(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2022 | Kosovo(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | Denmark(away) | 1-3 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Jan 12, 2023 | Estonia(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jan 9, 2023 | Sweden(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Norway(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2022 | FYR Macedonia(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Northern Ireland score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Finland score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Ireland | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Finland | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Northern Ireland sit 5th in Euro Championship - Qualification (9 points from 10 matches) and Finland sit 3rd (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Finland | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy