Match

Malut United vs Arema FC: prediction and stats

Liga 1Regular Season - 30Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC)

Malut UnitedArema FC

The Footlab model makes Malut United the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Arema FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Malut United vs Arema FC?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Malut United (1,765) and Arema FC (1,747).

Malut United win47 %
Draw24 %
Arema FC win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malut United have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Arema FC have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Malut United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Pusamania Borneo(away)1-7Liga 1
May 16, 2026Persita(home)1-1Liga 1
May 10, 2026PSIM Yogyakarta(away)0-2Liga 1
May 2, 2026Persis Solo(home)5-2Liga 1
Apr 28, 2026PSBS Biak Numfor(away)7-0Liga 1
Arema FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026Persija(away)1-3Piala Presiden
Aug 4, 2026Persebaya Surabaya(away)0-1Piala Presiden
Jul 31, 2026DPMM FC Brunei(home)2-0Piala Presiden
Jul 28, 2026Tampines Rovers(away)2-1Piala Presiden
Jul 25, 2026Persib Bandung(away)0-1Piala Presiden

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Malut United win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Arema FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 3, 2026Arema FC 1-1 Malut UnitedLiga 1
Nov 29, 2025Malut United 1-1 Arema FCLiga 1
Mar 4, 2025Malut United 2-1 Arema FCLiga 1
Oct 19, 2024Arema FC 3-1 Malut UnitedLiga 1

Last archived meeting: Arema FC vs Malut United on Apr 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Malut United score 2.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Malut United2.02.1210/1510/15
Arema FC1.51.357/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Malut United sit 6th in Liga 1 (53 points from 34 matches) and Arema FC sit 9th (48 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Malut United3415811685353
9Arema FC3413912534748

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Malut United vs Arema FC?
The Footlab model makes Malut United the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Arema FC.
Where and when is Malut United vs Arema FC played?
Malut United vs Arema FC is played on May 8, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC), in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Malut United and Arema FC

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