Mamelodi Sundowns U23 vs Golden Arrows U23: prediction and stats
Diski ChallengeMatchday 9Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium, Pretoria, GT
The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns U23 the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Golden Arrows U23. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,413 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mamelodi Sundowns U23 vs Golden Arrows U23?
Mamelodi Sundowns U23 starts as the favourite with a 241-point Elo edge (1,758 vs 1,516).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mamelodi Sundowns U23 vs Golden Arrows U23
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mamelodi Sundowns U23
Not enough data to predict the Mamelodi Sundowns U23 lineup.
Golden Arrows U23
Not enough data to predict the Golden Arrows U23 lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 09:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mamelodi Sundowns U23 have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Golden Arrows U23 have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | AmaZulu U23(away) | 3-0 | Diski Challenge |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sekhukhune United U23(away) | 2-1 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Polokwane City U23(home) | 1-1 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Chippa United U23(home) | 3-0 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 18, 2026 | TS Galaxy U23(away) | 2-1 | Diski Challenge |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2026 | Durban City U23(away) | 1-1 | Diski Challenge |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Marumo Gallants U23(home) | 4-1 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 31, 2026 | TS Galaxy U23(home) | 2-0 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Orlando Pirates U23(away) | 0-1 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Richards Bay U23(away) | 1-0 | Diski Challenge |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mamelodi Sundowns U23 wins, 3 draws, 1 Golden Arrows U23 win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Golden Arrows U23 3-2 Mamelodi Sundowns U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Mamelodi Sundowns U23 3-2 Golden Arrows U23 | Diski Challenge |
| May 4, 2025 | Golden Arrows U23 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Mamelodi Sundowns U23 3-0 Golden Arrows U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Mamelodi Sundowns U23 2-2 Golden Arrows U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Golden Arrows U23 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns U23 | Diski Challenge |
Last archived meeting: Golden Arrows U23 vs Mamelodi Sundowns U23 on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mamelodi Sundowns U23 score 2.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Golden Arrows U23 score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamelodi Sundowns U23 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Golden Arrows U23 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mamelodi Sundowns U23 sit 2nd in Diski Challenge (19 points from 8 matches) and Golden Arrows U23 sit 3rd (15 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mamelodi Sundowns U23 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | Golden Arrows U23 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 15 |
A question about Mamelodi Sundowns U23 vs Golden Arrows U23?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mamelodi Sundowns U23 vs Golden Arrows U23?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns U23 the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Golden Arrows U23.
- Where and when is Mamelodi Sundowns U23 vs Golden Arrows U23 played?
- Mamelodi Sundowns U23 vs Golden Arrows U23 is played on November 22, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium, in the Diski Challenge.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Chippa United U23vsRichards Bay U23
- Nov 21, 2026Orlando Pirates U23vsDurban City U23
- Nov 21, 2026TS Galaxy U23vsSiwelele U23
- Nov 21, 2026Kruger United U23vsSekhukhune United U23
- Nov 22, 2026Stellenbosch U23vsKaizer Chiefs U23
- Nov 22, 2026Marumo Gallants U23vsPolokwane City U23
- Nov 22, 2026Milford FC U23vsAmaZulu U23